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Red306
307259.1
335981.3
325873.3
Blue205
141390.1
289077.9
428664.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142510100300400500306205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.32.2
79.581.6
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End43.5
blue by 8.8
1413
#12
90.10.6
90.289.6
Auto7.9
Teleop33.0
End49.3
Second
73.32.2
71.573.7
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End31.4
blue by 4.5
77.90.6
78.077.3
Auto9.2
Teleop34.8
End33.9
Third
3072
#22
59.12.2
57.259.4
Auto5.7
Teleop32.2
End21.2
blue by 5.5
4286
#19
64.50.6
64.664.0
Auto7.1
Teleop34.9
End22.5