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Red205
202855.4
43593.8
40174.5
Blue211
62089.5
113777.2
595448.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442110100300400500205211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#2
93.80.5
94.894.4
Auto14.0
Teleop39.7
End40.1
red by 4.3
620
#9
89.50.0
85.985.9
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End36.8
Second
401
#5
74.50.5
75.675.1
Auto12.6
Teleop30.3
End31.6
blue by 2.7
77.20.0
73.673.7
Auto4.5
Teleop34.4
End38.3
Third
2028
#25
55.40.5
56.556.0
Auto6.7
Teleop28.7
End20.0
red by 6.8
5954
#20
48.60.0
45.045.1
Auto6.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4