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Red306
420562.6
574899.4
3663116.7
Blue395
241290.9
529591.9
321985.4
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942820100200400500600700800306395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.70.7
115.9116.5
Auto12.1
Teleop51.8
End52.7
red by 24.8
91.90.6
91.992.5
Auto7.5
Teleop46.8
End37.5
Second
99.40.7
98.699.3
Auto9.3
Teleop46.7
End43.5
red by 8.5
2412
#14
90.90.6
90.991.5
Auto5.8
Teleop47.1
End38.0
Third
4205
#33
62.60.7
61.862.4
Auto3.2
Teleop34.1
End25.3
blue by 22.8
3219
#15
85.40.6
85.486.0
Auto6.6
Teleop36.5
End42.4