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Red285
420562.6
574899.4
3663116.7
Blue305
241290.9
529591.9
321985.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29628402004006008001,0001,2001,400285305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.70.2
116.5116.7
Auto12.1
Teleop51.8
End52.7
red by 24.8
91.90.8
92.593.3
Auto7.5
Teleop46.8
End37.5
Second
99.40.2
99.399.4
Auto9.3
Teleop46.7
End43.5
red by 8.5
2412
#14
90.90.8
91.592.3
Auto5.8
Teleop47.1
End38.0
Third
4205
#33
62.60.2
62.462.6
Auto3.2
Teleop34.1
End25.3
blue by 22.8
3219
#15
85.40.8
86.086.8
Auto6.6
Teleop36.5
End42.4