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Red208
357445.6
948106.8
492103.9
Blue235
339372.8
413179.7
417361.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2852170100400500600208235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#1
106.81.2
107.9106.8
Auto14.8
Teleop49.2
End42.8
red by 27.1
79.70.5
79.980.3
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End33.6
Second
492
#6
103.91.2
105.1103.9
Auto12.3
Teleop52.2
End39.4
red by 31.2
3393
#13
72.80.5
72.973.4
Auto6.9
Teleop34.5
End31.3
Third
3574
#29
45.61.2
46.845.6
Auto7.6
Teleop28.6
End9.4
blue by 16.1
4173
#23
61.70.5
61.962.3
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End28.7