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Red305
417361.7
413179.7
339372.8
Blue255
382695.6
1318108.2
457962.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042970100400500600305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.72.2
76.979.1
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End33.6
blue by 28.5
108.20.3
108.8108.5
Auto9.6
Teleop45.5
End53.1
Second
3393
#13
72.82.2
70.072.2
Auto6.9
Teleop34.5
End31.3
blue by 22.9
3826
#17
95.60.3
96.295.9
Auto11.4
Teleop48.9
End35.4
Third
4173
#23
61.72.2
58.961.1
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End28.7
blue by 1.2
4579
#21
62.90.3
63.463.2
Auto11.5
Teleop29.9
End21.5