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Red255
321985.4
529591.9
241290.9
Blue275
2046113.3
4918103.3
593794.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813320100200400500600700255275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.90.9
93.392.4
Auto7.5
Teleop46.8
End37.5
blue by 21.4
2046
#10
113.30.7
112.3111.6
Auto14.7
Teleop49.4
End49.2
Second
2412
#14
90.90.9
92.391.3
Auto5.8
Teleop47.1
End38.0
blue by 12.4
103.30.7
102.3101.6
Auto13.2
Teleop42.3
End47.8
Third
3219
#15
85.40.9
86.885.8
Auto6.6
Teleop36.5
End42.4
blue by 9.4
5937
#18
94.80.7
93.893.1
Auto10.9
Teleop43.9
End40.1