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Red296
322362.1
491592.8
580391.0
Blue280
558889.9
446985.2
468174.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2482690100200300400500296280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.80.9
90.491.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.6
End42.5
red by 2.9
5588
#16
89.91.2
90.989.7
Auto13.8
Teleop38.7
End37.3
Second
91.01.2
88.189.3
Auto7.2
Teleop52.4
End31.4
red by 5.8
4469
#11
85.21.2
86.285.0
Auto11.5
Teleop39.6
End34.0
Third
3223
#28
62.10.9
59.760.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
blue by 12.5
4681
#18
74.61.1
75.574.5
Auto5.5
Teleop31.1
End38.0