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Red330
322362.1
491592.8
580391.0
Blue255
558889.9
446985.2
468174.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253264100200300400330255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.81.4
91.492.8
Auto10.7
Teleop39.6
End42.5
red by 2.9
5588
#16
89.90.1
89.789.9
Auto13.8
Teleop38.7
End37.3
Second
91.01.7
89.391.0
Auto7.2
Teleop52.4
End31.4
red by 5.8
4469
#11
85.20.1
85.085.2
Auto11.5
Teleop39.6
End34.0
Third
3223
#28
62.11.4
60.762.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
blue by 12.5
4681
#18
74.60.1
74.574.6
Auto5.5
Teleop31.1
End38.0