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Red147
322362.1
491592.8
580391.0
Blue240
445066.2
129470.9
549571.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652210100300400500147240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.82.3
92.790.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.6
End42.5
red by 21.6
5495
#25
71.10.0
73.573.5
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End29.1
Second
91.02.8
90.988.1
Auto7.2
Teleop52.4
End31.4
red by 20.2
70.90.0
73.573.5
Auto9.5
Teleop34.1
End27.3
Third
3223
#28
62.12.3
62.059.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
blue by 4.1
4450
#15
66.20.0
68.668.6
Auto9.5
Teleop27.9
End28.8