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Red271
322362.1
491592.8
580391.0
Blue265
125865.4
358875.9
131887.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25423650100150200300350400450271265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.80.2
90.390.5
Auto10.7
Teleop39.6
End42.5
red by 5.5
1318
#13
87.30.9
86.587.3
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End50.5
Second
91.00.2
88.188.3
Auto7.2
Teleop52.4
End31.4
red by 15.1
3588
#12
75.90.9
75.175.9
Auto11.6
Teleop32.4
End31.9
Third
3223
#28
62.10.2
59.759.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
blue by 3.3
1258
#27
65.40.9
64.565.4
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End28.4