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Red240
322362.1
491592.8
580391.0
Blue140
445066.2
129470.9
549571.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562220100300400500240140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.80.0
90.490.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.6
End42.5
red by 21.6
5495
#25
71.12.3
73.571.1
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End29.1
Second
91.00.1
88.188.1
Auto7.2
Teleop52.4
End31.4
red by 20.2
70.92.6
73.570.9
Auto9.5
Teleop34.1
End27.3
Third
3223
#28
62.10.0
59.759.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
blue by 4.1
4450
#15
66.22.3
68.666.2
Auto9.5
Teleop27.9
End28.8