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Red238
592092.6
369372.5
198387.6
Blue305
4061101.9
412588.7
214874.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265279100200400500238305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5920
#30
92.60.4
93.092.6
Auto13.0
Teleop32.6
End47.0
blue by 9.3
101.90.9
101.2102.1
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End52.5
Second
1983
#13
87.60.4
88.087.6
Auto6.9
Teleop39.3
End41.4
blue by 1.1
88.70.9
88.088.9
Auto9.2
Teleop40.2
End39.3
Third
3693
#11
72.50.4
72.972.5
Auto6.8
Teleop37.4
End28.4
blue by 2.3
2148
#22
74.80.9
74.175.0
Auto6.1
Teleop36.0
End32.7