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Red185
294445.0
597580.6
449580.4
Blue305
445090.2
371195.5
322362.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1992660100300400500185305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.60.4
74.173.6
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End36.5
blue by 14.9
95.51.4
93.895.2
Auto9.6
Teleop40.5
End45.3
Second
4495
#26
80.40.3
75.174.8
Auto8.6
Teleop33.9
End38.0
blue by 9.8
4450
#10
90.21.4
83.885.2
Auto9.8
Teleop37.6
End42.7
Third
2944
#16
45.00.3
49.048.7
Auto5.8
Teleop24.3
End14.9
blue by 17.4
3223
#34
62.31.4
65.967.2
Auto6.7
Teleop29.4
End26.3