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Red290
592092.6
369372.5
198387.6
Blue330
4061101.9
412588.7
214874.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632760100200400500600290330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5920
#30
92.60.9
92.193.0
Auto13.0
Teleop32.6
End47.0
blue by 9.3
101.91.0
100.2101.2
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End52.5
Second
1983
#13
87.60.9
87.188.0
Auto6.9
Teleop39.3
End41.4
blue by 1.1
88.71.0
87.088.0
Auto9.2
Teleop40.2
End39.3
Third
3693
#11
72.50.9
72.072.9
Auto6.8
Teleop37.4
End28.4
blue by 2.3
2148
#22
74.81.0
73.174.1
Auto6.1
Teleop36.0
End32.7