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Red145
413160.6
290769.6
293064.3
Blue162
49286.1
321964.4
357446.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2332620100300400500600700800145162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#22
69.65.7
76.971.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End35.9
blue by 16.5
492
#8
86.15.9
108.4102.5
Auto8.1
Teleop40.3
End37.7
Second
2930
#30
64.35.7
81.976.2
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End23.1
blue by 0.1
64.45.9
87.081.1
Auto7.3
Teleop29.2
End27.8
Third
4131
#17
60.65.7
66.260.5
Auto2.1
Teleop24.7
End33.8
red by 14.1
3574
#16
46.65.9
50.244.3
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
17%Rotor oddsMissed26%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed