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Red100
322326.9
290361.7
580379.1
Blue305
407759.3
189962.7
94893.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249239100150200300350100305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5803
#21
79.18.4
83.174.7
Auto10.7
Teleop35.4
End33.0
blue by 14.8
948
#2
93.94.5
87.592.0
Auto11.6
Teleop41.5
End40.8
Second
2903
#14
61.78.4
76.367.9
Auto7.0
Teleop35.9
End18.8
blue by 1.0
1899
#25
62.74.5
84.789.2
Auto6.6
Teleop31.6
End24.5
Third
3223
#35
26.98.4
66.858.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End6.0
blue by 32.4
59.34.5
65.570.0
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End27.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed