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Red289
417347.9
5803120.8
3238122.2
Blue305
307077.2
382684.7
252271.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142340100200400500600289305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.1
120.6120.7
Auto12.9
Teleop56.0
End53.4
red by 37.5
3826
#11
84.71.6
84.586.1
Auto7.9
Teleop38.4
End38.5
Second
120.80.1
119.2119.3
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End53.9
red by 43.7
3070
#12
77.21.6
77.078.6
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End30.5
Third
4173
#17
47.90.1
46.346.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
blue by 23.9
2522
#24
71.81.6
71.673.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.4
End37.4