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Red309
417347.9
5803120.8
3238122.2
Blue218
291083.0
177893.5
290366.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172420100200400500309218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.4
121.7122.2
Auto12.9
Teleop56.0
End53.4
red by 28.7
93.50.5
92.491.9
Auto13.3
Teleop40.9
End39.3
Second
120.80.4
120.4120.8
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End53.9
red by 37.8
2910
#13
83.00.5
81.981.4
Auto11.8
Teleop42.9
End28.3
Third
4173
#17
47.90.4
47.447.8
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
blue by 18.7
2903
#19
66.60.5
65.565.0
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End32.3