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Red387
417347.9
5803120.8
3238122.2
Blue215
307077.2
382684.7
252271.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162360100200400500600387215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.5
121.2121.7
Auto12.9
Teleop56.0
End53.4
red by 37.5
3826
#11
84.70.4
85.284.7
Auto7.9
Teleop38.4
End38.5
Second
120.80.5
119.8120.4
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End53.9
red by 43.7
3070
#12
77.20.4
77.677.2
Auto10.1
Teleop36.6
End30.5
Third
4173
#17
47.90.5
46.947.4
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
blue by 23.9
2522
#24
71.80.4
72.271.8
Auto6.0
Teleop28.4
End37.4