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Red335
417347.9
5803120.8
3238122.2
Blue311
291083.0
177893.5
290366.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192400100200400500335311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.4
122.2122.6
Auto12.9
Teleop56.0
End53.4
red by 28.7
93.51.6
91.993.5
Auto13.3
Teleop40.9
End39.3
Second
120.80.4
120.8121.2
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End53.9
red by 37.8
2910
#13
83.01.6
81.483.0
Auto11.8
Teleop42.9
End28.3
Third
4173
#17
47.90.4
47.848.3
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
blue by 18.7
2903
#19
66.61.6
65.066.6
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End32.3