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Red196
255792.6
469256.3
131897.5
Blue298
36074.2
1778105.1
247194.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26129602004006008001,0001,200196298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.53.8
98.794.9
Auto10.9
Teleop43.5
End43.2
blue by 7.6
105.11.4
102.1103.5
Auto7.4
Teleop40.9
End56.8
Second
92.63.8
89.685.8
Auto5.2
Teleop41.8
End45.6
blue by 2.1
2471
#17
94.71.4
98.299.6
Auto11.2
Teleop51.9
End31.6
Third
4692
#24
56.33.8
64.360.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End27.7
blue by 17.8
360
#5
74.21.4
76.577.9
Auto8.7
Teleop42.4
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed13%Pressure oddsMissed