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Red321
2910111.2
2046102.7
468172.6
Blue185
297654.5
446991.2
558874.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082630100200400500321185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#14
111.22.0
110.9112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop50.9
End45.5
red by 20.0
4469
#12
91.24.7
104.099.3
Auto8.4
Teleop42.8
End40.0
Second
2046
#11
102.72.0
107.5109.5
Auto10.4
Teleop42.5
End49.8
red by 28.1
5588
#18
74.64.7
88.383.6
Auto4.8
Teleop38.6
End31.2
Third
4681
#10
72.62.0
68.270.2
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End31.7
red by 18.2
2976
#26
54.54.7
63.558.8
Auto8.3
Teleop31.9
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed