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Red312
326862.7
4915108.5
5803122.2
Blue311
198393.5
321881.3
468179.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318257100200400500312311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.4
122.0122.5
Auto15.0
Teleop55.3
End51.9
red by 28.7
1983
#23
93.50.7
92.793.5
Auto8.5
Teleop43.3
End41.7
Second
108.50.4
108.4108.8
Auto11.8
Teleop45.2
End51.4
red by 27.2
3218
#11
81.30.7
80.681.3
Auto7.2
Teleop29.1
End45.0
Third
3268
#30
62.70.4
62.563.0
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End32.9
blue by 17.1
4681
#31
79.80.7
79.079.8
Auto9.8
Teleop37.2
End32.8