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Red135
292897.1
492100.6
293084.7
Blue305
260585.9
407797.4
131899.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296295150200250350135305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
100.63.2
99.796.5
Auto10.4
Teleop45.5
End44.7
red by 1.1
1318
#13
99.60.5
98.999.5
Auto9.2
Teleop33.7
End56.7
Second
2928
#21
97.13.2
96.293.0
Auto10.7
Teleop48.4
End38.1
blue by 0.3
97.40.5
96.797.3
Auto11.0
Teleop38.5
End47.9
Third
2930
#17
84.73.2
83.880.6
Auto9.1
Teleop49.7
End26.0
blue by 1.2
2605
#27
85.90.5
85.385.8
Auto12.2
Teleop32.5
End41.2