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Red305
307089.0
1778109.1
1294102.3
Blue315
3663114.2
4911107.4
549575.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315312290300320330340350305315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.10.1
108.4108.6
Auto14.4
Teleop44.1
End50.7
blue by 5.1
114.20.4
113.9114.3
Auto12.8
Teleop48.0
End53.5
Second
102.30.1
101.7101.8
Auto11.7
Teleop46.8
End43.8
blue by 5.1
107.40.4
107.0107.5
Auto12.9
Teleop45.8
End48.7
Third
3070
#14
89.00.1
88.388.4
Auto14.1
Teleop46.5
End28.4
red by 13.3
5495
#29
75.70.4
75.475.8
Auto11.9
Teleop32.4
End31.4