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Red420
292897.1
492100.6
293084.7
Blue265
260585.9
407797.4
131899.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803030100200400500600420265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
100.60.6
95.996.5
Auto10.4
Teleop45.5
End44.7
red by 1.1
1318
#13
99.60.4
100.099.6
Auto9.2
Teleop33.7
End56.7
Second
2928
#21
97.10.6
92.493.0
Auto10.7
Teleop48.4
End38.1
blue by 0.3
97.40.4
97.897.4
Auto11.0
Teleop38.5
End47.9
Third
2930
#17
84.70.6
80.080.6
Auto9.1
Teleop49.7
End26.0
blue by 1.2
2605
#27
85.90.4
86.485.9
Auto12.2
Teleop32.5
End41.2