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Red465
307089.0
1778109.1
1294102.3
Blue317
3663114.2
4911107.4
549575.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316313300320340360380400440465317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.11.5
108.6110.1
Auto14.4
Teleop44.1
End50.7
blue by 5.1
114.20.4
114.3114.7
Auto12.8
Teleop48.0
End53.5
Second
102.31.5
101.8103.3
Auto11.7
Teleop46.8
End43.8
blue by 5.1
107.40.4
107.5107.9
Auto12.9
Teleop45.8
End48.7
Third
3070
#14
89.01.5
88.489.9
Auto14.1
Teleop46.5
End28.4
red by 13.3
5495
#29
75.70.4
75.876.2
Auto11.9
Teleop32.4
End31.4