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Red170
323891.2
451368.9
410435.8
Blue256
592083.9
159581.7
607647.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2082230100300400500600700170256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.21.2
92.491.2
Auto13.6
Teleop47.0
End30.6
red by 7.3
83.91.0
82.883.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End40.1
Second
68.91.2
70.168.9
Auto9.4
Teleop38.0
End21.5
blue by 12.8
81.71.0
80.781.7
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End34.3
Third
4104
#18
35.81.2
37.135.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
blue by 11.3
6076
#23
47.11.0
46.147.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End11.2