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Red100
378941.0
612927.2
214777.0
Blue390
406180.9
449560.5
369338.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501860100300400500100390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#10
77.01.1
77.776.7
Auto8.9
Teleop34.0
End34.1
blue by 3.9
80.91.4
78.279.6
Auto8.9
Teleop30.2
End41.8
Second
3789
#24
41.01.1
41.740.7
Auto4.3
Teleop25.6
End11.2
blue by 19.5
60.51.4
57.859.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.5
End22.6
Third
27.21.1
27.926.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End9.5
blue by 11.0
3693
#21
38.21.4
35.536.9
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End11.2