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Red282
592083.9
159581.7
607647.1
Blue237
546855.2
430960.6
292347.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201530100300400500282237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.91.3
79.380.6
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End40.1
red by 23.2
60.61.6
57.859.4
Auto7.3
Teleop31.2
End22.1
Second
81.71.3
77.178.4
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End34.3
red by 26.6
55.21.6
52.353.9
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End17.7
Third
6076
#23
47.11.3
42.643.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End11.2
red by 0.1
2923
#17
47.01.6
44.245.8
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End13.0