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Red185
378941.0
612927.2
214777.0
Blue240
406180.9
449560.5
369338.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451920100300400185240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#10
77.00.4
76.777.0
Auto8.9
Teleop34.0
End34.1
blue by 3.9
80.91.3
79.680.9
Auto8.9
Teleop30.2
End41.8
Second
3789
#24
41.00.4
40.741.0
Auto4.3
Teleop25.6
End11.2
blue by 19.5
60.51.3
59.260.6
Auto6.4
Teleop31.5
End22.6
Third
27.20.4
26.927.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End9.5
blue by 11.0
3693
#21
38.21.3
36.938.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End11.2