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Red308
592083.9
159581.7
607647.1
Blue240
546855.2
430960.6
292347.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2231580100200300400500308240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.92.3
80.682.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End40.1
red by 23.2
60.61.2
59.460.6
Auto7.3
Teleop31.2
End22.1
Second
81.72.3
78.480.8
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End34.3
red by 26.6
55.21.2
53.955.2
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End17.7
Third
6076
#23
47.12.3
43.846.2
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End11.2
red by 0.1
2923
#17
47.01.2
45.847.0
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End13.0