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Red256
607647.1
159581.7
592083.9
Blue220
412557.3
594263.3
322034.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111380100300400256220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.91.5
76.477.8
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End40.1
red by 20.6
5942
#13
63.31.2
58.659.8
Auto4.9
Teleop35.5
End22.9
Second
81.71.5
74.275.7
Auto10.6
Teleop36.8
End34.3
red by 24.4
4125
#14
57.31.2
52.653.8
Auto5.4
Teleop29.8
End22.1
Third
6076
#23
47.11.5
39.641.1
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End11.2
red by 12.8
3220
#20
34.31.2
29.630.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End10.6