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Red215
292347.0
430960.6
546855.2
Blue165
498056.7
214860.0
214941.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15616905001,0001,5002,000215165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.4
56.357.8
Auto7.3
Teleop31.2
End22.1
red by 0.6
2148
#11
60.00.2
59.960.0
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End21.9
Second
55.21.4
50.852.3
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End17.7
blue by 1.5
4980
#12
56.70.2
56.556.7
Auto6.9
Teleop25.6
End24.3
Third
2923
#17
47.01.4
42.744.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.0
End13.0
red by 5.1
2149
#19
41.90.2
41.741.9
Auto6.3
Teleop22.9
End12.6