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Red304
17892.4
15564.1
195150.4
Blue235
71682.3
18195.0
23740.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34021206008001,0001,2001,400304235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
150.40.0
150.4150.4
Auto36.6
Teleop68.2
End45.5
red by 55.4
181
#6
95.00.0
95.095.0
Auto9.4
Teleop42.9
End42.7
Second
178
#4
92.40.0
92.492.4
Auto8.0
Teleop37.3
End47.1
red by 10.1
716
#15
82.30.0
82.382.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End32.5
Third
155
#13
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End21.9
red by 23.4
237
#22
40.70.0
40.740.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
78%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds