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Red190
352536.9
58103.8
112483.8
Blue90
66639.9
206468.1
17394.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24020804006008001,0001,2001,4001,60019090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#3
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto11.6
Teleop45.4
End46.9
red by 9.6
173
#17
94.20.0
94.294.2
Auto7.5
Teleop40.0
End46.6
Second
1124
#18
83.80.0
83.883.8
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End32.0
red by 15.7
2064
#14
68.10.0
68.168.1
Auto9.3
Teleop39.6
End19.2
Third
3525
#20
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End7.0
blue by 3.0
666
#23
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds