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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Canadian Rockies Regional
Red470
359201.8
2122218.6
4733103.5
Blue201
6364126.8
5078147.1
5725116.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4702310100300400600700800470201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
218.60.6
215.8→216.4
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
red by 71.5
5078
#12
147.10.0
147.1→147.1
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
Second
359
#4
201.80.3
200.6→200.9
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
red by 75.1
6364
#26
126.80.4
126.4→126.8
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
Third
4733
#32
103.50.0
103.6→103.6
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
blue by 12.9
5725
#16
116.40.1
116.3→116.4
Auto16.6
Teleop86.5
End14.6