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Red448
359201.8
2122218.6
4733103.5
Blue164
4334177.4
6679140.7
6351118.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4332720100200500600700448164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.60.6
216.4217.0
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
red by 41.1
4334
#15
177.40.2
177.1177.3
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
Second
359
#4
201.80.3
200.9201.2
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
red by 61.1
140.70.2
141.2141.0
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
Third
4733
#32
103.50.0
103.6103.6
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
blue by 15.1
6351
#17
118.50.3
118.0118.3
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5