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Red513
2130178.5
3250186.7
5630108.3
Blue269
4627126.2
5787124.5
1482116.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4252420100200300500600700800513269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.70.8
181.7182.5
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
red by 60.5
4627
#31
126.20.2
126.5126.3
Auto18.2
Teleop93.9
End11.9
Second
178.50.9
172.8173.7
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
red by 54.0
5787
#11
124.50.1
124.3124.4
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
Third
5630
#33
108.30.2
109.0108.8
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
blue by 8.1
1482
#19
116.40.2
115.9116.1
Auto13.8
Teleop90.4
End16.1