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Red439
2130178.5
3250186.7
5630108.3
Blue295
3216124.5
1622182.4
6106139.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367352250300400450500439295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.70.7
184.8185.5
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
red by 4.3
182.40.7
181.7182.4
Auto20.2
Teleop134.1
End29.5
Second
178.50.8
176.3177.1
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
red by 39.5
6106
#21
139.00.1
139.2139.0
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Third
5630
#33
108.30.1
108.5108.4
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
blue by 16.3
3216
#10
124.50.5
124.0124.5
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6