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Semifinal 2-22018 Canadian Rockies Regional
Red382
2130178.5
3250186.7
5630108.3
Blue299
3216124.5
1622182.4
6106139.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364353300400450500382299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#2
186.70.7
184.1→184.8
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
red by 4.3
1622
#3
182.40.8
180.9→181.7
Auto20.2
Teleop134.1
End29.5
Second
2130
#5
178.50.8
175.5→176.3
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
red by 39.5
6106
#21
139.00.1
139.3→139.2
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Third
5630
#33
108.30.1
108.6→108.5
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
blue by 16.3
3216
#10
124.50.6
123.4→124.0
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6