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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Canadian Rockies Regional
Red384
4334177.4
6679140.7
6351118.5
Blue165
4775156.9
6188125.7
5118110.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368276100200400500600384165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#15
177.40.2
176.9→177.1
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
red by 20.5
4775
#8
156.90.1
156.9→156.9
Auto18.3
Teleop116.9
End21.1
Second
6679
#6
140.70.2
141.4→141.2
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
red by 15.0
6188
#7
125.70.1
125.8→125.7
Auto21.2
Teleop86.1
End20.0
Third
6351
#17
118.50.3
117.8→118.0
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5
red by 7.8
5118
#13
110.70.4
110.3→110.7
Auto15.3
Teleop82.3
End15.8