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Semifinal 2-12018 Canadian Rockies Regional
Red293
2130178.5
3250186.7
5630108.3
Blue392
3216124.5
1622182.4
6106139.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368347250300400450500550293392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#2
186.70.8
183.3→184.1
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
red by 4.3
1622
#3
182.40.7
180.2→180.9
Auto20.2
Teleop134.1
End29.5
Second
2130
#5
178.50.9
174.6→175.5
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
red by 39.5
6106
#21
139.00.2
139.5→139.3
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Third
5630
#33
108.30.1
108.7→108.6
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
blue by 16.3
3216
#10
124.50.5
122.9→123.4
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6