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Red182
6435107.3
7277108.9
6188125.7
Blue369
6041109.5
4733103.5
5078147.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413070100200400500600182369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.717.1
65.082.0
Auto21.2
Teleop86.1
End20.0
blue by 21.4
5078
#12
147.11.2
133.8135.0
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
Second
7277
#22
108.939.4
117.277.7
Auto16.1
Teleop85.2
End11.9
blue by 0.6
6041
#28
109.517.6
60.578.1
Auto12.7
Teleop89.5
End6.8
Third
6435
#23
107.320.7
34.154.8
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
red by 3.8
4733
#32
103.516.9
66.383.2
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed