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Red257
5630108.3
4334177.4
6701114.6
Blue298
3216124.5
6106139.0
3011119.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331264100200300400500257298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#15
177.41.5
167.1168.6
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
red by 38.4
6106
#21
139.01.5
137.7139.2
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Second
6701
#30
114.616.0
74.690.6
Auto16.3
Teleop85.3
End14.6
blue by 9.9
3216
#10
124.516.3
71.687.9
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6
Third
5630
#33
108.32.1
115.0112.9
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
blue by 11.2
119.52.4
118.9116.5
Auto20.4
Teleop93.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed