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Red168
5118110.7
6700116.3
6364126.8
Blue216
460499.3
5787124.5
2130178.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143610100300400500600168216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#26
126.80.1
125.2125.3
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
blue by 51.7
178.50.4
164.3164.7
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
Second
6700
#29
116.316.3
71.587.8
Auto15.0
Teleop88.3
End10.1
blue by 8.2
5787
#11
124.50.1
121.3121.2
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
Third
5118
#13
110.70.4
93.293.6
Auto15.3
Teleop82.3
End15.8
red by 11.4
4604
#25
99.316.2
73.189.3
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed