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Red320
6351118.5
6841109.7
5078147.1
Blue203
5725116.4
460499.3
6041109.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270263200250300350320203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5078
#12
147.11.4
136.3137.7
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
red by 30.7
5725
#16
116.49.3
103.2112.5
Auto16.6
Teleop86.5
End14.6
Second
6351
#17
118.51.5
104.9106.4
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5
red by 9.1
6041
#28
109.51.8
95.297.0
Auto12.7
Teleop89.5
End6.8
Third
6841
#14
109.73.4
94.097.4
Auto14.3
Teleop86.4
End9.8
red by 10.4
4604
#25
99.32.8
97.3100.1
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed