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Red434
2122218.6
1482116.4
5015126.2
Blue140
5630108.3
6679140.7
4733103.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3661790100300400500434140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.61.9
197.3199.2
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
red by 77.8
140.75.8
115.5121.3
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
Second
5015
#18
126.22.4
111.9109.5
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
red by 18.0
5630
#33
108.30.2
110.6110.4
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
Third
1482
#19
116.40.1
109.2109.0
Auto13.8
Teleop90.4
End16.1
red by 12.9
4733
#32
103.51.0
96.495.4
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed