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Red471
3250186.7
359201.8
2122218.6
Blue225
6351118.5
724699.9
1622182.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4622090100300400500600471225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.60.3
195.3195.6
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
red by 36.2
182.40.5
163.5164.0
Auto20.2
Teleop134.1
End29.5
Second
359
#4
201.80.1
190.0190.0
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
red by 83.3
6351
#17
118.50.5
103.7104.2
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5
Third
186.72.4
145.4147.7
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
red by 86.8
7246
#34
99.922.2
99.977.7
Auto16.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed